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2024-12-13 05:39:08

Penalties for violations of laws and regulations have increased, driving the market to be more standardized.This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.At present, photovoltaic is more of a restorative rise in destocking, and it is difficult to get out of the trend market again. Unless new demand breaks out, expectations should not be too high.


The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.In fact, the market should have been constrained in this way a long time ago. Many industries are prone to various kinds of production capacity, and an industry with good results is hard to survive because of various price wars, which also leads to a very long period for the whole industry to recover.Friday's market was flat before 10:30, so the market enthusiasm was ignited again, thus the increase in volume broke through this triangle arrangement.


This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.In fact, the market should have been constrained in this way a long time ago. Many industries are prone to various kinds of production capacity, and an industry with good results is hard to survive because of various price wars, which also leads to a very long period for the whole industry to recover.

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